At Shafran Realty Group, we understand the importance of staying informed in a dynamic market. As North County San Diego heads into the latter half of 2024, many questions surround home prices, mortgage rates, and overall market trends. To empower our clients with knowledge, we’ve compiled a data-driven analysis leveraging expert insights on the national market landscape.
Home Prices Are Expected To Climb Moderately
Home prices are forecasted to rise at a more normal pace. The graph below shows the latest forecasts from seven of the most trusted sources in the industry:
The reason for continued appreciation? The supply of homes for sale. Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:
“One thing that seems to be pretty solid is that home prices are going to continue to go up, and the reason is that we don’t have housing inventory.”
While inventory is up compared to the last couple of years, it’s still low overall. And because there still aren’t enough homes to go around, that’ll keep upward pressure on prices.
If you’re thinking of buying, the good news is Sharan Realty Group can help you navigate the market! While pandemic-era price surges are unlikely, experts predict a steady increase in home values. Buying sooner could mean long-term savings, and analysts expect continued appreciation – making your home a sound investment.
Mortgage Rates Are Forecast To Come Down Slightly
One of the best pieces of news for both buyers and sellers is that mortgage rates are expected to come down a bit, according to Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and NAR (see chart below):
When you buy, even a small drop in mortgage rates can make a big difference in your monthly payments. For sellers, lower rates will bring more buyers back into the market, which can help you sell faster and potentially at a higher price. Plus, it may help you get off the fence, if you’ve been hesitant to sell due to today’s rates.
Home Sales Are Projected To Hold Steady
For 2024, the number of home sales will be about the same as last year and may even rise slightly. The graph below compares the 2024 home sales forecasts from Fannie Mae, MBA, and NAR to the 4.8 million homes that sold last year:
The average of the three forecasts is about 5 million sales in 2024 – a small increase from 2023. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains why:
“Job gains, steady mortgage rates, and the release of inventory from pent-up home sellers will lead to more sales.”
With more inventory available and mortgage rates expected to go down, a few more homes are expected to be sold this year compared to last year. This means more people will be able to move. Let’s work together to make sure you’re one of them.
Bottom Line
North County San Diego’s housing market is poised for a steady climb in home values, with gradually decreasing mortgage rates and stable sales activity. Sharan Realty Group can be your trusted guide to navigate these trends and make informed decisions. Contact us today to unlock your real estate goals in the second half of 2024!