With rising home prices and mortgage rate shifts, it’s no surprise that many in North County San Diego are asking: Is now the right time to make a move?
The good news? Leading housing experts are starting to release their projections for the rest of the year—and the outlook is more encouraging than you might expect.
These expert insights bring much-needed clarity to a fast-changing market. And according to Business Insider, the latest forecasts could be great news for local homeowners and buyers alike.
“As mortgage rates go down this year, affordability may improve slightly for homebuyers. Inventory is also expected to grow, which should help moderate price growth and make finding a home easier.”
Let’s break it down.
1. Mortgage Rates Should Come Down (Slightly)
While a major drop isn’t on the table, forecasters are calling for a modest decline in rates in the months ahead as the economic outlook becomes more certain. Based on the information we have right now, here’s a look at where they say rates should be by year-end (see graph below):
Even this slight decrease is a welcome change. A seemingly small decline can still help bring down your future mortgage payment and give you a bit more breathing room in your budget.
Just remember, everything from inflation to employment and broader economic shifts will have an impact on where rates go from here. So, don’t try to time the market. And do expect some volatility along the way.
2. Inventory Will Continue To Grow
Inventory has already improved a lot this year. A big portion of the growth the market has already seen is because homeowners are getting tired of sitting on the sidelines. They’ve tried the wait and see approach with rates, and it hasn’t really paid off. And at a certain point, you need to move no matter what the market is doing. This is one reason more homes have been listed lately. And experts say that should continue. As Lance Lambert, Co-founder of ResiClub, says:
“The fact that inventory is rising year-over-year . . . strongly suggests that national active housing inventory for sale is likely to end the year higher.”
If rate forecasts pan out as the experts say, that could be enough to tip some more sellers off the fence and back into the market – giving you even more options for your move.
3. Home Prices Are Moderating
As more homes hit the market, there will also be less upward pressure on home prices. Expert forecasts are still calling for growth, but the pace of that growth is slowing down as inventory climbs. The average of all 7 forecasts shows prices will rise about 2% this year (see graph below):
That means you could finally get a little bit of relief from rapidly rising home prices. When you combine the forecast for healthier price growth with projections for slightly lower mortgage rates, that could mean more buying power in the months ahead.
Keep in mind, the housing market is hyper-local—and North County San Diego is no exception. Some areas may see prices continue to climb, while others could experience slight dips if inventory increases. That’s why it’s essential to lean on a local expert who understands the nuances of your market.
At Shafran Realty Group, we specialize in helping you navigate these shifts with clarity and confidence.
Bottom line
If you’re planning to move this year, the latest expert projections are a positive sign. Let’s connect so we can strategize around the market trends working in your favor.